Over the last six months investors have been focused on the political landscape, particularly on President Trump and the incoming administration; however, the Fed recently came back in focus as they raised interest rates by 25 basis points this month after a sequence of strong economic data (particularly unemployment below 5% and inflation approaching 2%).
Texas Legacy Wealth Management Blog
Three steps and no stumble…
Technical analyst Edson Gould developed a market rule of thumb known as ‘three steps and a stumble.’ It states stock prices may fall after the Federal Reserve (Fed) raises the Fed funds rate three times in a row without a decline, according to Market Technicians Association. 
It was a grand slam.
Major U.S. stock markets were positively euphoric following President Trump’s speech on February 28. Optimism about the new administration’s pro-growth policies propelled the four major U.S. stock indices to record highs, despite a dearth of policy details, reported Financial Times.
As the market continues to reach new highs it's not surprising to see investors begin to worry as the mindset seems to be- what goes up must come down. We are strong believers in making changes within a portfolio if we feel that it's likely a recession is on the horizon. In order to make that type of forecast we need to have our finger on the pulse of the economy.
Once upon a time, five blind men discovered an elephant. Each man examined a different part of the elephant and formed a unique impression about the animal. One believed an elephant was like a pillar, while another decided an elephant was like a snake.
In recent weeks, stock and bond markets have been telling different stories, too.
An historic moment for U.S. stock markets…
The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed 20,000 last week. Barron’s cautioned investors not to make too much of the milestone since, “There are only 30 stocks in the index so each one carries a lot of weight.”